Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -163 UCD +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -3.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -2.1 (+0.9) | 154.8 (-7.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -2.9 (+0.1) | 152.1 (-5.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -2.4 (+0.6) | 155.0 (-8.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -2.4 (+0.6) | 155.4 (-8.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCD 76 – 70 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UCD 71 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCD 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LBSU 84 – 73 UCD |
| Mar 17, 2024 | LBSU 74 – 70 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#148) | 1.3 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#179) | 0.05 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#146) | 0.24 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#152) | 0.507 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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