Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR +115 HALL -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +21 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -0.3 (-21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.6 (-20.4) | 131.6 (-12.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -0.3 (-20.7) | 131.5 (-12.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -0.7 (-21.7) | 131.7 (-12.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.5 (-20.5) | 133.5 (-14.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | HALL 63 – 56 BTLR |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BTLR 77 – 66 HALL |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 54 HALL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BTLR 82 – 77 HALL |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HALL 76 – 64 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#94) | 8.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#96) | 1.33 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#90) | 1.41 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#143) | 0.559 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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