Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -110 SIUE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -2.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.0 (+7.0) | 137.7 (-32.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.3 (+6.3) | 136.0 (-31.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.8 (+6.8) | 138.7 (-33.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.2 (+7.2) | 138.7 (-33.7) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#304) | -1.3 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#220) | -0.11 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#246) | -0.47 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#218) | 0.503 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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