Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TNST -275 LIN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -6.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -4.6 (+12.4) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -3.2 (+13.8) | 142.3 (+6.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -3.7 (+13.3) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -4.1 (+12.9) | 142.4 (+6.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNST 89 – 80 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TNST 96 – 86 LIN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | TNST 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIN 72 – 62 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#318) | -11.6 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#332) | -2.27 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#338) | -2.51 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#343) | 0.387 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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