Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -250 OHIO +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -5.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -5.6 (+0.4) | 143.8 (+16.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -5.1 (+0.9) | 141.5 (+18.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -6.0 (-0.0) | 142.8 (+17.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -5.9 (+0.1) | 144.9 (+15.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#117) | 1.7 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#117) | 0.11 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#138) | 0.22 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#141) | 0.501 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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