Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | URI -225 LAS +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | URI -6.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -4.1 (-2.1) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.9 (-2.9) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -4.5 (-2.5) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -4.0 (-2.0) | 137.3 (+4.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#225) | -5.6 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#251) | -0.70 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#237) | -1.34 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#238) | 0.474 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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