Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COR -333 BRWN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | COR -10.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -11.0 (-4.0) | 157.5 (-4.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -8.8 (-1.8) | 152.8 (+0.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -10.0 (-3.0) | 154.2 (-1.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -10.1 (-3.1) | 156.2 (-3.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COR 86 – 80 BRWN |
| Jan 19, 2026 | COR 89 – 67 BRWN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | COR 85 – 81 BRWN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | BRWN 83 – 82 COR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 78 – 74 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#91) | -1.6 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#105) | -0.43 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#97) | -0.67 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#90) | 0.481 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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