He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Dartmouth Big Green
83 – 73
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Leede Arena · January 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DART -8.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money DART -350 / COLU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual DART +10 156 Won
Massey DART -10.1 (-0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 138.0 (+18.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DART -7.5 (+2.5) 143.3 (+12.7) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DART -8.0 (+2.0) 142.6 (+13.4) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DART -7.6 (+2.4) 142.2 (+13.8) 80% ✓
Baseline ML DART -8.2 (+1.8) 142.0 (+14.0) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 DART 64 – 63 COLU
Jan 24, 2026 COLU 79 – 69 DART
Feb 14, 2025 DART 78 – 56 COLU
Feb 1, 2025 DART 95 – 89 COLU
Feb 17, 2024 COLU 73 – 63 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART COLU
Overall 10-18 7-22
Conference 6-8 2-12
Home 7-5 6-9
Away 3-11 1-13
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak W1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.9 65.3
Avg Pts Against 74.4 77.3
Massey -5.5 (#264) -12.2 (#346)
Bradley-Terry -1.21 (#289) -1.98 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.93 (#313) -2.43 (#334)
RPI 0.453 (#266) 0.409 (#331)
Shooting & Four Factors DART COLU
FG% 42.0% 38.1%
3PT% 32.2% 29.6%
REB / G 34.2 35.1
OREB / G 8.4 10.7
AST / TO 0.81 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 44.0%
TOV% 20.5% 21.0%
ORB% 23.6% 27.6%
FT Rate 18.3% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 18.5%
DRB% 73.4% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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