Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -700 LAF +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -10.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -9.5 (+2.5) | 135.9 (-9.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -11.2 (+0.8) | 133.2 (-7.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.4 (+3.6) | 135.1 (-9.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -8.6 (+3.4) | 135.2 (-9.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COLG 85 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COLG 90 – 67 LAF |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 11-4 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | -3.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#134) | -1.29 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#124) | -1.43 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#137) | 0.453 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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