Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +163 WCU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -2.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -4.0 (-2.0) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -2.5 (-3.5) | 137.4 (-1.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -3.4 (-2.6) | 142.6 (-6.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -3.7 (-2.3) | 142.4 (-6.4) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#340) | -5.2 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#351) | -0.94 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#352) | -1.19 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#350) | 0.453 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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