Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +188 UML -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UML -3.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -2.9 (+6.9) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -2.2 (+6.2) | 138.9 (-4.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -2.3 (+6.3) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -2.1 (+6.1) | 142.6 (-8.6) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 17-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#258) | 1.4 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#280) | 0.36 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#284) | 0.40 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#264) | 0.529 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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