Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -175 NCSU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -0.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -1.8 (-3.8) | 158.6 (-2.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -2.1 (-4.1) | 155.8 (+0.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -1.7 (-3.7) | 157.9 (-1.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -1.8 (-3.8) | 159.2 (-3.2) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NCSU 96 – 78 WAKE |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NCSU 70 – 57 WAKE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NCSU 85 – 73 WAKE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WAKE 77 – 59 NCSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | WAKE 83 – 79 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#81) | 10.2 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#49) | 2.20 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#50) | 2.59 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#55) | 0.581 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.