Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -400 HC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +11 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -10.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -8.6 (+2.4) | 140.8 (-19.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -9.4 (+1.6) | 140.8 (-19.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -8.5 (+2.5) | 141.8 (-20.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -8.4 (+2.6) | 140.9 (-19.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#230) | -10.4 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#281) | -1.96 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#266) | -2.25 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.411 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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