Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD +100 BUCK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -1.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -0.4 (+14.4) | 130.0 (+16.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -0.4 (+14.4) | 129.5 (+16.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.1 (+15.1) | 130.8 (+15.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -0.5 (+14.5) | 132.1 (+13.9) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BUCK 79 – 67 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#343) | -7.0 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#323) | -1.92 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#329) | -2.30 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#336) | 0.399 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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