Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | NU -1200 MINN +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NU -15.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -12.4 (+7.6) | 132.2 (+9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -12.1 (+7.9) | 134.0 (+8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -11.7 (+8.3) | 132.9 (+9.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -12.3 (+7.7) | 131.5 (+10.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-17 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#38) | -1.5 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#41) | -0.30 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#48) | -0.63 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#51) | 0.460 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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