Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | FSU +120 CLEM -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +1 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -5.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -5.1 (+4.1) | 144.8 (+18.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -4.9 (+3.9) | 143.8 (+19.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.2 (+4.2) | 144.4 (+18.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -4.8 (+3.8) | 144.7 (+18.3) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-11 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#191) | 7.8 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#204) | 2.12 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#198) | 2.46 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#205) | 0.583 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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