Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -400 OAK +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -13.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -12.2 (-8.2) | 159.8 (-9.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -10.4 (-6.4) | 156.9 (-6.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -10.6 (-6.6) | 157.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -11.7 (-7.7) | 159.1 (-9.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#107) | -6.0 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#146) | -0.54 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#137) | -0.81 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#157) | 0.474 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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