Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SMC -7500 PAC +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -20.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -17.9 (-7.9) | 140.0 (-10.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -19.8 (-9.8) | 136.9 (-6.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -15.8 (-5.8) | 140.4 (-10.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -17.8 (-7.8) | 140.5 (-10.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SMC 72 – 61 PAC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | SMC 84 – 43 PAC |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SMC 76 – 28 PAC |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SMC 83 – 52 PAC |
| Feb 26, 2021 | SMC 58 – 46 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 9-1 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#59) | -7.1 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#50) | -1.66 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#42) | -1.91 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#26) | 0.426 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.