Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +240 IONA -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +17 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -4.6 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -3.5 (+20.5) | 143.0 (-20.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -3.0 (+20.0) | 140.9 (-17.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -2.6 (+19.6) | 142.9 (-19.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -3.7 (+20.7) | 142.6 (-19.6) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#167) | 8.1 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#153) | 0.87 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#156) | 1.31 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#160) | 0.561 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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