Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -250 UALB +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -8.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -5.7 (+13.3) | 137.6 (+11.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -5.9 (+13.1) | 137.4 (+11.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -5.3 (+13.7) | 138.5 (+10.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -5.5 (+13.5) | 137.6 (+11.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#270) | -10.3 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#282) | -2.03 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#284) | -2.50 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#276) | 0.422 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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