Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +188 UK -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +16 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -0.6 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -0.4 (-16.4) | 145.7 (-23.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -0.0 (-16.0) | 144.0 (-22.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -0.0 (-16.0) | 146.6 (-24.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -0.1 (-16.1) | 147.4 (-25.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#86) | 10.2 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#87) | 1.80 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#93) | 2.26 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#77) | 0.575 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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