Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -300 INST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -5.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -7.4 (-5.4) | 146.4 (-8.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -7.2 (-5.2) | 143.5 (-5.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -7.1 (-5.1) | 145.9 (-7.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -7.0 (-5.0) | 145.4 (-7.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 62 INST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | DRKE 74 – 72 INST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DRKE 85 – 81 INST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DRKE 71 – 53 INST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 80 INST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#98) | 3.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#97) | 0.18 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#95) | 0.18 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#86) | 0.498 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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