Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NIU +550 KENT -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -13.8 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -11.3 (+21.3) | 141.1 (+20.9) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -11.3 (+21.3) | 139.6 (+22.4) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -12.9 (+22.9) | 139.2 (+22.8) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -11.1 (+21.1) | 139.7 (+22.3) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-7 | 15-0 |
| Away | 7-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#289) | 10.6 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#278) | 2.56 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#272) | 3.26 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#258) | 0.606 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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