Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +130 BGSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +22 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -1.9 (-23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -0.6 (-21.4) | 146.9 (-2.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -0.2 (-22.2) | 144.1 (-0.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -0.4 (-22.4) | 147.9 (-3.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -0.1 (-21.9) | 147.0 (-3.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#295) | -5.4 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#317) | -0.93 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#313) | -1.23 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#337) | 0.435 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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