Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -250 KSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -6.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -5.3 (-1.3) | 135.8 (+20.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -5.9 (-1.9) | 135.5 (+20.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -4.9 (-0.9) | 136.1 (+19.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -5.4 (-1.4) | 138.6 (+17.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#9) | 13.0 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#14) | 3.63 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#14) | 4.10 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#21) | 0.647 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.3% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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