Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | NU -150 WIS +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NU -6.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -2.9 (+0.1) | 130.8 (-1.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -4.9 (-1.9) | 130.6 (-1.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -3.5 (-0.5) | 130.2 (-1.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -4.0 (-1.0) | 130.4 (-1.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#44) | 7.3 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#53) | 2.19 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#63) | 2.60 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#75) | 0.592 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.