Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +130 TXSO -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -1.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -0.9 (-11.9) | 146.9 (-17.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.1 (-10.9) | 145.7 (-16.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -1.0 (-12.0) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -0.7 (-11.7) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#335) | -8.0 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#345) | -2.02 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#347) | -2.76 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#357) | 0.415 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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