Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD +180 LBSU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +2 | 222 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -2.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+76.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -2.2 (+0.2) | 145.6 (+76.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -4.0 (+2.0) | 143.1 (+78.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -2.4 (+0.4) | 142.8 (+79.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -2.5 (+0.5) | 143.0 (+79.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#277) | 0.2 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#276) | -0.32 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#280) | 0.01 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#249) | 0.490 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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