Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UCD -450 CP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -11.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -8.8 (-6.8) | 135.1 (-7.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -9.2 (-7.2) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -9.3 (-7.3) | 135.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -9.5 (-7.5) | 135.8 (-7.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UCD 67 – 58 CP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CP 84 – 78 UCD |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CP 86 – 76 UCD |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCD 65 – 54 CP |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCD 77 – 66 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 1-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 5-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#151) | -6.7 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#180) | -1.43 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#169) | -1.66 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#172) | 0.405 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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