Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SAM -450 WCU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SAM -10.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -8.3 (+0.7) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -8.6 (+0.4) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -8.4 (+0.6) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -8.3 (+0.7) | 142.5 (-3.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAM 88 – 74 WCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SAM 82 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SAM 93 – 72 WCU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAM 88 – 69 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | SAM 88 – 62 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAM | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#131) | -4.2 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#164) | -0.66 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | -0.92 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#175) | 0.462 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAM | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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