Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +210 NWST -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +23 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -6.9 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -7.1 (-15.9) | 150.8 (+2.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -5.8 (-17.2) | 148.9 (+4.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -5.7 (-17.3) | 148.9 (+4.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -6.7 (-16.3) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#349) | -2.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#344) | 0.33 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#342) | -0.16 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#337) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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