Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -250 BELL +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +20 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -7.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -5.1 (+14.9) | 132.6 (-14.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -3.9 (+16.1) | 131.1 (-13.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -5.4 (+14.6) | 133.2 (-15.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -5.1 (+14.9) | 132.5 (-14.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIP 75 – 72 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIP 81 – 71 BELL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LIP 87 – 80 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIP 90 – 74 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#186) | -4.3 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#196) | -0.63 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#201) | -0.68 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#199) | 0.481 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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