Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -150 M-OH +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -6.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.8 (+5.2) | 156.4 (-0.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -3.9 (+6.1) | 154.2 (+1.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.8 (+5.2) | 156.0 (+0.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.8 (+5.2) | 156.0 (+0.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#263) | -8.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#277) | -1.80 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#275) | -2.14 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#297) | 0.413 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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