Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -200 USI +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -8.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -6.3 (-16.3) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.0 (-14.0) | 145.2 (+8.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -6.2 (-16.2) | 145.1 (+8.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -6.1 (-16.1) | 145.8 (+8.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIUE 58 – 46 USI |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SIUE 59 – 55 USI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | USI 82 – 68 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIUE 82 – 76 USI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#155) | -3.7 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#139) | -0.62 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#159) | -0.82 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#133) | 0.464 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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