Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -188 ETAM +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -5.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -4.6 (+1.4) | 146.1 (+5.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -3.1 (+2.9) | 144.5 (+7.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.1 (+1.9) | 145.6 (+6.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -4.4 (+1.6) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ETAM 70 – 53 SELA |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ETAM 70 – 69 SELA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SELA 83 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 ETAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | SELA 79 – 77 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#266) | -7.3 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#216) | -1.16 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#235) | -1.72 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#251) | 0.432 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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