Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SCST +100 UMES +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -4.0 (-2.0) | 147.3 (-1.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -1.0 (-5.0) | 146.2 (-0.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -3.9 (-2.1) | 150.7 (-4.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -3.7 (-2.3) | 150.0 (-4.0) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Home | 4-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-19 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.7 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#348) | -6.8 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#320) | -0.10 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#336) | -0.17 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#326) | 0.510 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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