Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · January 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -4.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money LIN +188 / MORE -188
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual MORE +9 135 Lost
Massey LIN -0.5 (-9.5) — —
Massey Totals — 134.8 (+0.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 31% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -0.2 (-8.8) 138.3 (-3.3) 47% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -1.3 (-7.7) 136.8 (-1.8) 39% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -0.4 (-8.6) 138.3 (-3.3) 47% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -0.3 (-8.7) 138.8 (-3.8) 47% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 LIN 79 – 78 MORE
Jan 1, 2026 LIN 77 – 64 MORE
Mar 6, 2025 LIN 73 – 65 MORE
Feb 14, 2025 LIN 73 – 60 MORE
Jan 18, 2025 MORE 82 – 65 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN MORE
Overall 11-21 22-12
Conference 6-12 14-4
Home 9-4 14-2
Away 2-14 8-9
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.6 66.2
Avg Pts Against 76.1 68.2
Massey -11.0 (#339) -7.8 (#305)
Bradley-Terry -2.03 (#337) -0.58 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.25 (#326) -1.01 (#252)
RPI 0.395 (#340) 0.474 (#223)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN MORE
FG% 40.9% 41.4%
3PT% 33.8% 33.7%
REB / G 32.6 32.9
OREB / G 7.8 8.4
AST / TO 0.72 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.0% 48.0%
TOV% 20.7% 20.4%
ORB% 21.6% 25.8%
FT Rate 19.8% 29.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 15.3%
DRB% 69.4% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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