Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UTM -400 EIU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -9.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -7.9 (+5.1) | 145.5 (+23.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -8.2 (+4.8) | 143.7 (+25.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -7.8 (+5.2) | 142.8 (+26.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -7.2 (+5.8) | 143.9 (+25.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#250) | -10.7 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#240) | -1.99 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#247) | -2.45 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#245) | 0.384 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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