Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MCN +180 NICH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -1.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -2.5 (-0.5) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.0 (-0.0) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.5 (-0.5) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -1.7 (-1.3) | 143.0 (-4.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#333) | -5.0 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#330) | -0.50 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#337) | -0.76 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#274) | 0.473 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 35.9% |
Game Analysis
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