Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | APSU +150 EKU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +15 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -2.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -3.5 (-11.5) | 142.1 (-9.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -3.3 (-11.7) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -3.2 (-11.8) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -3.5 (-11.5) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | APSU 90 – 82 EKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | APSU 74 – 72 EKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EKU 88 – 82 APSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | APSU 97 – 90 EKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | APSU 83 – 79 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#300) | -1.4 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#302) | 0.39 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#308) | 0.10 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#288) | 0.543 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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