Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NAU +188 EWU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -3.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.0 (+1.0) | 145.8 (+9.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -4.9 (+1.9) | 143.4 (+11.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -4.7 (+1.7) | 147.3 (+7.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -4.3 (+1.3) | 148.1 (+6.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#272) | 1.3 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#313) | 0.48 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#313) | 0.45 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#314) | 0.519 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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