Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UCR -120 HAW +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -2.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -1.7 (-5.7) | 132.7 (-2.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -0.9 (-4.9) | 131.3 (-1.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -2.0 (-6.0) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -1.7 (-5.7) | 133.8 (-3.8) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | HAW 93 – 74 UCR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | HAW 88 – 45 UCR |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCR 82 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 10, 2025 | HAW 83 – 76 UCR |
| Mar 3, 2024 | HAW 76 – 73 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 62.0 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#144) | 2.7 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#93) | 0.47 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#134) | 0.84 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#120) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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