Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -163 UNT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +11 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -5.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -3.2 (-14.2) | 133.2 (-18.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -3.5 (-14.5) | 132.5 (-17.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.0 (-15.0) | 137.0 (-22.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -3.3 (-14.3) | 137.4 (-22.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 UAB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UAB 72 – 68 UNT |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 66 – 56 UNT |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAB 64 – 61 UNT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | UNT 78 – 75 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 31-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 16-4 |
| Home | 17-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 56.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#63) | 6.6 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#105) | 1.72 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#87) | 1.83 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#106) | 0.588 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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