That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Brown Bears
97 – 85
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Pizzitola Sports Center · January 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -11.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money BRWN -800 / COLU +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual BRWN +12 182 Won
Massey BRWN -14.3 (-2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 131.1 (+50.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BRWN -10.1 (+1.9) 137.3 (+44.7) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BRWN -11.8 (+0.2) 139.8 (+42.2) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -10.7 (+1.3) 137.9 (+44.1) 87% ✓
Baseline ML BRWN -10.2 (+1.8) 138.2 (+43.8) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 COLU 80 – 62 BRWN
Jan 17, 2026 BRWN 86 – 80 COLU
Feb 22, 2025 BRWN 86 – 61 COLU
Feb 8, 2025 COLU 74 – 72 BRWN
Feb 24, 2024 BRWN 66 – 64 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN COLU
Overall 14-13 7-22
Conference 7-7 2-12
Home 7-5 6-9
Away 7-8 1-13
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.6 65.3
Avg Pts Against 69.3 77.3
Massey -1.7 (#206) -12.3 (#347)
Bradley-Terry -0.53 (#222) -1.97 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.78 (#229) -2.43 (#333)
RPI 0.475 (#220) 0.405 (#331)
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN COLU
FG% 43.8% 37.4%
3PT% 34.5% 29.3%
REB / G 34.4 35.2
OREB / G 8.3 10.9
AST / TO 1.07 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 43.2%
TOV% 19.4% 21.4%
ORB% 24.2% 28.1%
FT Rate 16.7% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 19.9% 18.9%
DRB% 78.3% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 17.5%

Game Analysis

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