Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -1200 DSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +19 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -17.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -12.9 (+6.1) | 138.2 (-9.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -14.0 (+5.0) | 135.4 (-6.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -13.3 (+5.7) | 140.8 (-11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -13.3 (+5.7) | 139.2 (-10.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#185) | -14.4 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#209) | -3.91 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#199) | -5.24 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#203) | 0.373 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 25.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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