Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -350 BCU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -10.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -6.4 (-2.4) | 143.1 (-7.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -7.8 (-3.8) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -6.9 (-2.9) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -7.3 (-3.3) | 143.4 (-7.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | JKST 91 – 86 BCU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BCU 85 – 48 JKST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | JKST 71 – 50 BCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | JKST 84 – 71 BCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JKST 86 – 81 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#318) | -15.2 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#318) | -2.08 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#339) | -2.72 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#320) | 0.366 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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