Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -138 HAMP +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +17 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -0.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -1.5 (-15.5) | 138.6 (+10.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.1 (-18.1) | 137.0 (+12.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -0.7 (-17.7) | 138.2 (+10.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.6 (-16.4) | 137.5 (+11.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAMP 65 – 63 MONM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONM 68 – 63 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | HAMP 64 – 56 MONM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MONM 85 – 77 HAMP |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MONM 100 – 64 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-10 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-15 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -16.9 (#359) | -13.8 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#348) | -2.59 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#349) | -3.19 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#295) | 0.388 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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