Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +300 AKR -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +8 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -6.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -7.8 (-0.2) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -8.1 (+0.1) | 139.9 (-21.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -6.7 (-1.3) | 142.7 (-24.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -7.2 (-0.8) | 143.2 (-25.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#270) | 4.3 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#322) | 0.63 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#316) | 0.51 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#296) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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