Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -200 OMA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +16 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -1.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -0.5 (+15.5) | 140.9 (+11.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -2.4 (+13.6) | 139.4 (+12.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -1.1 (+14.9) | 142.5 (+9.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -0.6 (+15.4) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#328) | -7.7 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#262) | -0.67 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#281) | -1.02 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#281) | 0.471 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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