Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -225 KC +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -3.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -2.5 (-4.5) | 136.4 (+11.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -2.1 (-4.1) | 136.7 (+11.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -2.7 (-4.7) | 136.3 (+11.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -2.7 (-4.7) | 137.0 (+11.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NDSU 95 – 59 KC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NDSU 97 – 73 KC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NDSU 78 – 72 KC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NDSU 71 – 64 KC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NDSU 82 – 78 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#239) | -4.0 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#234) | -0.91 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#227) | -1.07 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#212) | 0.462 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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